Field Poll: California is Obama territory

by Dante Atkins (hekebolos) [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

Field,  5/16/08-5/27/08 (1/08):

Obama (D): 52 (47)

MccAin (R): 35 (40)

Clinton has opened up a similar 53-36 lead, up from 45-43 in the January field poll.  Yeah...about that "John McCain will carry California" garbage we've had to hear so much about?  Don't buy it.

California Democrats are also coalescing around Obama as the Democratic nominee (no trend lines)

Obama (D): 51

Clinton (D) 38

Furthermore, it seems that in California, at least, we're getting some reconciliation: only 22% of Clinton supporters say they're not likely to vote Obama, while 17% of Obama voters say they're not likely to support Clinton.

What's also interesting--and a note I touched on in a DailyKos diary I wrote a couple of days ago--is that Californians give Obama's campaign a much better grade than they do Clinton's.  70% of Clinton supporters think Obama has run a good campaign, while only 42% of Obama supporters feel that way about Clinton's, and 11% of Clinton supporters are  unhappy with Clinton's campaign, compared with only 3% of Obama's.

Now imagine if California had kept it's primary in June...things would have been very interesting.