Field Polls on the February Ballot

by Brian Leubitz [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

With exactly two weeks remaining before the Feb. 5 election, we are probably getting the last polls we'll see from Field.  However, there is some possibility that the good folks at Field might release one more poll right before the election. The first is the Democratic Poll (PDF). Senator Clinton continues to lead the poll by double digits (39-27). More over the flip.
The big difference between this poll and the previous poll in December 2007 is the slide in the numbers of former Sen. John Edwards and of "other". Edwards slid down from 13% to 10%, and "other" from 9 to 4. My guess would be that Kucinich is the bulk of the "other" category.

Obama leads mightily amongst African-Americans, but Clinton leads amongst Latinos. Clinton leads women by a count of 43-24 and LA County by 44-28. The SF Bay area is at 38-31 for Clinton.

In the end, expect radical shifts in these numbers as time goes by. The question for the Obama campaign is whether too many votes have already been cast from Permanent Absentee Voters for them to recover.