by David Dayen [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

I should probably fold this into what Brian wrote above, but just a little housekeeping and what's in store for tomorrow, in what should be a very entertaining day in the Golden State.  I'll be at this Barack Obama event tomorrow:

Los Angeles Town Hall Meeting

Los Angeles Trade Technical College

400 West Washington Blvd.

Los Angeles, CA 90015

Doors Open: 8:30 AM

And from there, I'll be heading to the Kodak Theater for the first Clinton/Obama, mano-a-mano debate, at 5pm local time.  I'll be trying to grab as many interviews beforehand and will be inside the "spin room" afterwards (I prefer "lying den," but I'm old-fashioned).  

Then, Friday morning, Ted Kennedy will be out in LA stumping for Barack.  I should be able to make that one as well.

But what I really wanted to let you know about is our Drinking Liberally Tsunami Tuesday watch party, at our new location:

Nocturnal Bar

2101 Lincoln (@ Grant)

Santa Monica, CA 90404

6pm-????

We had a tremendous turnout for our Iowa caucus watch party, and this time we're partnering with the local MoveOn.org chapter, so it should be outstanding.  Come one come all!

I'll have a lot more for y'all tomorrow.

(NOTE: E minus-6 would be SoS Debra Bowen's term for 6 days left until the election)

by Jack Boyte [courtesy of Blog for America]

From God's Politics, a blog by Jim Wallis and friends.

"The upcoming primary in South Carolina will be critical for both the Democrats and the Republicans, say the media pundits. And South Carolina is full of evangelicals, they also say. But they have absolutely no clue about what that means.

For example, the exit polls in the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary have asked departing Republican voters if they are "evangelicals," but they don't ask the same question of exiting Democrats—therefore assuming there aren't any evangelicals voting for Democrats, an assumption that is demonstrably not true. The leading Democrats in the race—Obama, Clinton, and Edwards—speak explicitly and articulately as Christians and their campaigns have reached out as much to faith communities as the Republicans have."

Here's the link to God's Politics. Read the whole piece.

by Karen Kostoff [courtesy of Blog for America]

Hi DFA Member;

I know you all heard from me or Teresa calling or emailing to find out who you support to be the nominee in the Democratic Presidential Caucus next week. Originally intended to have this done before the Iowa Caucus. That's why some answers reflect GREAT candidates that have since dropped out. Reason being, we had a hard time hearing back from people. So of our 183 members between Las Vegas and Henderson we actually only got 49 responses.

Unfortunately, we had some wrong numbers or emails. So it would be great if you could log in to your DFA account and update your profiles for us.

(Click Read More for the rest of this post)

[courtesy of The California Majority Report]

It's been a 3-5 point battle since the polls closed, but With 73% of precincts reporting, Senator Hillary Clinton has won in New Hampshire by a 39-36 margin. While Senator Barack Obama was down 12 points in New Hampshire before the Iowa caucus, all the pundits and campaigns expected the Iowa bump to push him over the edge in the Granite State -- and they were all wrong. We have a race here folks.

One of the big stories in Iowa was Obama's surprisingly strong showing among women. But in New Hampshire, women were back in the Clinton camp, joining union voters, those making less than $50,000, those who consider the economy the most important issue, those who value experience, and those without a college degree. Obama did better among men, those making more than $50,000, independents, first time voters, and those with a post-graduate degree.

[courtesy of The California Majority Report]

Hillary Clinton is still holding her leading in New Hampshire -- but it's dropping -- with just three days to go until New Hampshire voters go to the polls, according to a new 7NEWS/Suffolk University tracking poll released this morning.
 
In the Democratic Primary, Hillary Clinton (36 percent) leads Barack Obama (29 percent), John Edwards (13 percent), Bill Richardson (4 percent), Joe Biden (1 percent), Dennis Kucinich (1 percent), Mike Gravel (1 percent), and 12 percent were undecided.
 
Obama has climbed four points overnight and Hillary Clinton has dropped one.
 
Obama’s gains were most dramatic among young voters in New Hampshire who may have been energized by the Iowa win. Among likely voters ages 18-35 years, Obama led Clinton 44%-31%, compared to the previous tracking where he trailed Clinton 35%-31%.
 
In the Republican Primary, the 7NEWS/Suffolk University poll also shows Mitt Romney (30 percent) led John McCain (26 percent), while Iowa Caucus Republican winner Mike Huckabee and Rudy Giulianiwere tied for third at 11 percent. Other candidates receiving support were Ron Paul (8 percent), Fred Thompson (2 percent), and Duncan Hunter (1 percent). There were 10 percent undecided. This is the first time in nine consecutive polls that Rudy Giuliani has improved his numbers from a previous poll.

[courtesy of California Progress Report]

By Paul Hogarth

Barack Obama’s victory in the Iowa caucus last night sent a powerful message of change – as a record turnout (especially among young voters) picked him the winner with 38% of the total vote. John Edwards, who likewise ran a populist campaign that emphasized change, came in second place with 30%. When asked what was the most important factor in a candidate, voters picked “change” over “experience” by a 51-20 margin – giving Hillary Clinton's establishment campaign a humiliating 3rd place finish at 29%. Obama defied expectations by even beating Clinton among women and registered Democrats, which questions her viability as a candidate. But while Obama’s insurgent campaign has crystallized the message of change, the dirty little secret in presidential primaries is that the establishment always wins. As the fight moves to New Hampshire and other states, Obama’s campaign will have to defy historical precedent to dethrone the Clinton dynasty. I believe he can prevail, but it will be a different story for Mike Huckabee – who won last night’s Republican caucus.

[courtesy of The California Majority Report]

With the New Hampshire Presidential Primaries just four days away, Hillary Clinton is maintaining her lead over Iowa Caucus Democratic winner Barack Obama, according to a Boston-based television stations poll released today. The poll, of course, does not take into account any bump Obama might have gotten last night.
 
In the Republican Primary, Romney (29 percent) led McCain (25 percent), while Iowa Caucus Republican winner Mike Huckabee (13 percent) continued to gain ground. Other candidates receiving support were Rudy Giuliani (9 percent), Ron Paul (8 percent), Fred Thompson (2 percent), and California's Duncan Hunter (1 percent). There were 12 percent undecided. Rudy Giuliani’s numbers have either declined or stayed the same in eight consecutive polls from a high of 37 percent in March of 2007 to the current level of 9 percent as of January 4, 2008.

In the Democratic Primary, the 7NEWS/Suffolk University poll also shows that Hillary Clinton (37 percent) continues to lead Barack Obama (25 percent), John Edwards (15 percent), Bill Richardson (4 percent), Joe Biden (2 percent), Dennis Kucinich (1 percent), and 12 percent were undecided.

There's more...