joe baca

2010 - The Year of Primaries

by Bob Brigham [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

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Congressional Update

by David Dayen [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

CA-02: Dennis Morris and AJ Sekhon are within a couple hundred votes.  Close one.

CA-24: It's truly amazing to me that Jorgensen's lead is holding.  She has 47% of the vote and is very likely to win.  That's quite an upset to me.

CA-26: The AP has called this for Russ Warner.  On to November.

CA-40: Christina Avalos leads 55-45 with 69% of the vote in.

CA-41: With 47% of the vote in, Tim Prince has 34%, Rita Ramirez-Dean has 27%, and Pat Meagher has 26%.

CA-42: This one hurts.  The AP called the race for Ed Chau.  Here's what I have to say for the Ron Shepston campaign.  He didn't knock on a single door.  He relied on phone calls and showing up at club events and that's simply not enough.  The turnout was simply abysmal here and Chau's experience as a candidate showed himself through to win enough votes.  I'm still proud of Ron Shepston for literally coming off the blogs and into a Congressional campaign.  Bravo.

CA-43: Finally called for Joe Baca.  He had to sweat a little.

CA-45: The AP called this for Julie Bornstein.

CA-50: Cheryl Ede is running a lot stronger than I expected.  Nick Leibham is up 56-44 with 44% of the vote in.

CA-52: Mike Lumpkin's up 58-42 with 33% in.  I think he'll win it... UPDATE: The race has been called for Mike Lumpkin.

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Progressive Punch: Jerry McNerney ranks 195th of 232

by Brian Leubitz [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

Woohoo! Jerry did it! Jerry McNerney has managed to become the most un-progressive Democrat of the entire California congressional delegation. For those keeping score at home, Jerry's 82.45 was about a half point lower than the next CA Dem, Jim Costa, that progressive stalwart, at 82.97. And for all the talk of Harman changing her ways, she's still worse than even Joe Baca, almost 7 points worse from a very safe Dem seat.

For all of you CA-45 fans, "moderate" Mary Bono came in with a stellar 4.42 Chips are Down score. So, for all the bluster of the SCHIP vote, she's still dancing the same jig as the rest of her party.

On thing must be said, the Speaker has done an excellent job at preserving unity amongst the caucus. Whether that means she's being too incremental and/or ineffective, or just laying down the law is the big question. The reason her approval rating, and the Congress in general, is down has a whole lot to do with the fact that little has changed on the Iraq front. So, would it be better to have a speaker who is more willing to take risks? Perhaps, but the impediment of the president always lingers over her head, veto pen in hand. So, whether the unity is really there, is an open question. Full data over the flip.

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