number of delegates

AP: Obama Clinches Nomination

by Lucas O'Connor [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

The AP is reporting that Barack Obama has "effectively clinched the Democratic presidential nomination." Their calculus is based on publicly and privately committed delegates and a minimum number of delegates won today in Montana and South Dakota.

Assuming AP is right, I'm licking my chops for moving on to McCain.

Fairness, Math, and Primary Realities

by David Reiter [courtesy of Blog for America]

It is still possible for either Obama or Clinton to win the Democratic Primary. Here is what needs to happen for one or the other to win. The race is not over, and all voters need to make sure they continue the pattern of record turnouts and vote for their candidate.

First, the math:

Number of Delegates to win the nomination: 2,024 Remaining Delegates: 914

Current Delegates

Obama: 1,629; Needed to win: 395; % of remaing delegates needed to win: 43.2%

Clinton: 1,486; Needed to win: 538; % of remaining delegates needed to win: 58.8%

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Hillary's Ground Game in California is Unmatched

[courtesy of The California Majority Report]

While the Hillary Clinton campaign continues to operate aggressively throughout the early primary states of New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina -- it is also going full steam into the February 5th states.
 
The Primary is about the number of delegates a candidate gets in order to earn the party's nomination, the number of delegates needed is 2,025 (or 50 percent plus one). As it stands right now, Hillary is winning the overall delegate count 169 (52%) to Obama's 66 (20%). It is predicted that the delegates received from Iowa will be Obama 16, Hillary 15, and Edwards 14.
 
California makes up about 20% of the delegates needed to win and Tsunami Tuesday (otherwise known as February 5th) will determine 47% of the total delegates. That's why, from day one, the Hillary Clinton campaign has assembled a well-organized campaign operation in California and other Tsunami Tuesday states.
 
We are in this campaign for the long run and have laid the foundation and support needed to remain competitive through February 5th when this election will be decided.
 
In California, our ground game, grassroots organization, and volunteer network throughout the 58 counties are unmatched and will allow us to remain strong.

There's more...

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