provisional ballots

SD-15: Update on the Dennis Morris Write-In Campaign

by David Dayen [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

The campaign liaison to us blogger folks is providing us with constant updates about the write-in campaign of Dennis Morris, the legal scholar who launched a last-minute effort to step into the breach and get on the ballot to face Abel Maldonado in November in the 15th Senate District.  San Luis Obispo County, where the effort originated, now reports 2,385 write-in votes, an addition of 396 since the count on election night.  As far as the other counties, we have:

Santa Barbara: 413 write-in votes

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Analysis of California Democratic Presidential Primary Vote—While Waiting for Late Vote By Mail Ballots

[courtesy of California Progress Report]

By Frank D. Russo

California-Democratic-Presi.gif

Hillary Clinton has 51.9% of the vote to Barack Obama’s 42.4% with 95.4% of the vote counted in California—but with what is probably on the order of a million vote by mail ballots that were cast late and need to be verified and placed in line for counting later today along with some additional provisional ballots where there was some question about the voter’s right to cast them.

The numbers may very well change as these additional ballots are counted, but several conclusions can be drawn from them while we wait for the final results. Before we delve into the county distribution of votes for patterns revealed, there is one larger pattern that needs to be reported, that will not change—even as the exact numbers change with straggling votes coming in as we write this article.

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Trends Point to Passage of California Tribal Gaming, But Defeat of Other Ballot Propositions Including Term Limit Changes

[courtesy of California Progress Report]

frankrusso-small.jpg By Frank D. Russo

While the percentages may very well changes—and in some cases by a several points—it appears that California voters have said no to all ballot propositions except for approval of Propositions 94 to 97 which will allow an expansion of slot machines at tribal casinos.

There are some surprises here in the numbers so far—particularly Prop 93 on term limits which is doing a lot better than the polls indicated it would. With 62 % of the vote counted it is garnering losing only 53% to 47%. And Prop 91 on transportation funds was getting more votes than Prop 92 on Community College fees and funding—despite the fact that the proponents of Prop 91 wrote an argument urging a no vote as it was no longer necessary. I would have thought it would have gone down in flames with no more than a quarter of the vote—I guess many voters do not even glance at the ballot arguments and just look at the title and summary on the ballot or screen itself while voting.

So, here are the results:

Prop 91 Transportation funds is losing 42.7% to 57.3%

Prop 92 Community Colleges is losing 41% to 59%.

Prop 93 Term limits is losing 46.9% to 53.1%

Props 94 to 97 Indian gaming compacts are all passing by about 56% to 44%.

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How to Watch and Interpret Election Returns From California’s Presidential Primary

[courtesy of California Progress Report]

frankrusso-small.jpg By Frank D. Russo

The California Secretary of State website will have live election results with the best real time information for not only the presidential race, but also ballot propositions and some of the local races. Go to the Secretary of State’s site and click on Election Night Results near the bottom left hand side of the site.

For statewide results and breakdowns by county, go to this page.

For those delegate counters of you interested in the Democratic side, go to this page and you can select individual Congressional Districts or see how all of California’s 53 Congressional Districts are voting. this will give you the voting breakdown, although it will be difficult to interpret the delegate breakdown.

For ballot measures go to this site.

Finally, to see where the votes are coming in from, county by county, you may want to check out this page which will show how much of a county's vote is in.

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