[courtesy of California Progress Report]

By Frank D. Russo

The trend line is unmistakable in the California Field Poll released today which shows Proposition 93 losing 33% to 46%, with 21% undecided. It is dropping like a Sandy Koufax curve at the plate. Support for Prop 93 is down 6 points since the last survey was taken two weeks earlier when it was tied at 39% in support and 39% opposed.

Field’s poll is of 1,105 likely California voters—a large sample—that has a margin of error of 3%. The realignment it shows is that Republicans, once the strongest supporters of the measure are now in opposition 58% to 26%. In December, they were in support by the mirror image 56% to 29%. They have gotten the message of the conservative Republican led campaign opposing changing California’s term limits laws, one of the most restrictive in the nation.
Democratic support for the measure, tepid at best, has fallen to 37% with 39% opposed. Non-partisans are also opposed but by a narrower 42% to 32% margin. The No side is leading in all the major population areas in the state, among both men and women, and among voters in all age categories.

by Monica Smith [courtesy of Blog for America]

Yesterday, I participated in the hand re-count of New Hampshire presidential primary ballots as an observer. For those looking for a comprehensive analysis of the results, sorry to disappoint, but ballot counters don't get to see the whole picture and we didn't get to see the totals from the other seven groups.