xavier becerra

Preliminary Congressional District Analysis Shows Clinton May End Up With Fewer California Delegates Than Some May Think

[courtesy of California Progress Report]

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By David Dayen
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Obama actually had an excellent overnight. He kept contact in several districts, won enough in CA-09 for a 4-2 split, and I don't think CA-50 and CA-53 are worth calling yet until we see where the final votes are coming from; he's basically in the same position he was in CA-01. My approximations on delegates show that Clinton will win between 31 and 37 more delegates out of California. At one point last night it looked like 50-60.

(Those are slightly different than Caligirl's numbers, based on late-breaking numbers for Obama.)

My initial analysis wasn't all that off except for one key area: Clinton was able to get 3-1 splits in 8 key districts, almost all of them heavily Latino: CA-18, CA-21, CA-31 (hey, great job, Obama surrogate Xavier Becerra!), CA-32, CA-34, CA-38, CA-39 (awesome, Obama surrogate Linda Sanchez!), and CA-43. If Obama got enough votes in those districts to keep it close, and I mean a scant 35%, he would have basically been even or down by 5-7 delegates.

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My Delegate Analysis

by David Dayen [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

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Sen. Obama at LA Trade Technical College

by David Dayen [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

Hey all.  Sitting here in the spin room at the Kodak Theater prior to tonight's Democratic debate.  The place is kind of swamped with media, and I guess Blitzer's doing his live show just outside, so there are a lot of sign-holders afoot.

Earlier today I was down at Los Angeles Trade Technical College, a community college near downtown, to watch a townhall meeting with Senator Barack Obama.  A lot of his Southern California supporters were on hand, including Assemblyman Ted Lieu, labor leader Maria Elena Durazo, Congressmen Xavier Becerra and Adam Schiff, LA City Councilmembers Yvonne Burke and Bill Rosendahl, and State Senators Dean Florez, Gil Cedillo, and Majority Leader Gloria Romero.  I have as much respect for Senators Cedillo and Romero as anyone in the State Senate.  They have been at the forefront of taking on tough issues; in the case of Sen Romero, prison and sentencing reform (Obama expressed support for eliminating the crack/cocaine powder sentencing and for a more intelligent criminal justice system that deals with nonviolent offenders in a different way), and in the case of Sen. Cedillo, immigration measures like driver's licenses and the DREAM Act (which Obama said he would sign).  It means a lot to me that they are on board Obama's campaign.

More...

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California Presidential Endorsement Watch -- Elected Officials

[courtesy of The California Majority Report]

Earlier this week, we brought you the state's leading editorial endorsements. Today, we'll take a look at endorsements from California's Constitutional officers, Congressional delegation, Assembly, and State Senate. We've included Edwards' endorsements, even though he is no longer in the race. If and when his endorsements migrate elsewhere, we will update the list accordingly. Please feel free to leave a comment if there is an error or update.

Senator Hillary Clinton:

Sen. Dianne Feinstein
Lt. Governor John Garamendi
Treasurer Bill Lockyer
Controller John Chiang
State Superintendent of Public Instruction Jack O’Connell ...

Senator Barack Obama:

Rep. Xavier Becerra
Rep. Barbara Lee
Rep. Zoe Lofgren
Rep. George Miller
Rep. Linda Sanchez ...

Undeclared Support:

Sen. Barbara Boxer
Secretary of State Debra Bowen
Attorney General Jerry Brown
Sen. Ellen Corbett
Sen. Lou Correa ...

Complete lists over the flip...

Endorsements A Go-Go

by David Dayen [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

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California Democratic Primary - What are you seeing?

by Bob Brigham [courtesy of Calitics - Front Page]

Via Newseum, here's how Barack Obama's victory over Hillary Clinton in South Carolina is playing above the fold in today's California's Sunday papers:

Bakersfield Californian: Obama routs Clinton in S.C.

North County Times (Escondido): Obama romps in South Carolina

LA Daily News: Obama defeats Clinton in rout in S. Carolina

LA Times: Obama easily captures strongest win yet in S.C.

Modesto Bee: Obama crushes Clinton in South Carolina primary

Sacramento Bee: Obama's big win sets up next fight

San Diego Union-Tribune: Obama thrashes rivals in S.C.

San Francisco Chronicle: OBAMA WINS BIG IN S. CAROLINA

Orange County Register: Obama runs away with S.C.

Contra Costa Times: Obama nets huge win in S. Carolina

More after the flip and please use the comments to let us everyone know what you're doing and seeing locally.

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As Californians Hold Candlelight Vigils for Health Care, Republicans in Washington Kill Health Insurance for Children

[courtesy of The California Majority Report]

The It's OUR Healthcare coalition is holding 48-hour vigils in front of Governor Schwarzenegger's district offices across the state in an effort to convince the Governor to work with legislatures to pass comprehensive health care reform this year. A livestream of the San Francisco vigil is available and at 6 p.m. this evening, the group will light candles for those who have suffered because of inadequate health care in California.

Meanwhile, despite valiant efforts by Democratic leadership and grassroots bloggers, Congress failed today to override President Bush's veto of the S-CHIP program, falling 16 votes short of the two-thirds majority required. As California Rep. Xavier Becerra noted on the Hill Blog, insuring children for a year would cost as much money as waging the Iraq war for three weeks.

Nevertheless, only one California Republican voted for the veto override, which prompted this strongly worded statement by CDP Chair Art Torres:

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