Write-In Votes Will Determine if Republican Senator Maldonado Has a Democratic Opponent on the November Ballot—If So, He May Be

[courtesy of California Progress Report]

More Than Enough Voters Wrote in a Name in the 15th Senatorial District—But Did They Vote For Democrat Dennis Morris?

By Frank D. Russo

Votes are still being counted in a number of races across the state and in some of the closer ones, the outcome will not be known for sure until all straggling ballots are cast.

But in the 15th Senate District race which stretches across 5 counties on the California Central Coast, which could determine if Democrats get an important two-thirds majority in that house, the result will depend on whether enough Democrats have written in the name Dennis Morris. It is a district where the incumbent, Republican State Senator Abel Maldonado is the most vulnerable of all the Senate Republicans running this year. Democratic registration has been surging in this district and there is not a 40.5% to 36.2% edge they have over Republicans—the highest of any seat not in Democratic hands.

Yet no Democrat filed regular nomination papers to run. Some took out papers but they were not turned in. Democratic Senate President pro Tem Don Perata was grateful that last year Maldonado supplied the first vote from Republican Senators for passage of the state budget and is not going to lift a hand to help any Democrat. So the only way a Democrat will appear on the ballot in November is if 3,689 voters have written in Morris.

After Morris qualified as a write-in candidate, Maldonado was worried enough about this prospect that he turned in papers himself to run as a write-in candidate for the Democratic nomination—even though he is a Republican. This generated a bit of press and raised the visibility of Morris’ effort, and as best as I can tell there was no active campaign by Maldonado as a write-in candidate—probably out of fear of stirring up the pot and helping Morris with a difficult and late effort to get on the ballot.

More than enough voters wrote something on that section of the ballot—someone’s name or made some marks—but we don’t know if they put in Mickey Mouse, Maldonado, or Morris. It’s not uncommon for voters to do strange things with write-ins—and they are not counted unless a candidate files to run as such.

This is a cliffhanger that we won’t know about until about June 20, as write in votes in each of these counties will be counted last.

So, here is what we know so far.